Samrat Lamsal
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Guesstimates

Full reasoning behind each estimate, corrections included.

How many new e-commerce users come online in India each year?

Population-segmented adoption model — broke India's population down by age band, urban/rural split, and smartphone + payment-rail penetration, then modeled the incremental adopters per band per year.

Landed close to the real figure after cross-checking against 2025 data (~342M).

How many coffee shops are in Delhi?

Started from population and a rough per-capita café density assumption borrowed from other metros.

Initial estimate (~7,500) was too high — re-derived using NCR-specific footfall and commercial-density data instead of borrowed assumptions.

Landed close to the real figure (~2,075) after re-deriving.

More to come.